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LTC Price Prediction: Will Litecoin Break Through $90 Amid ETF Optimism?

LTC Price Prediction: Will Litecoin Break Through $90 Amid ETF Optimism?

Author:
LTC News
Published:
2025-06-12 05:08:14
11
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[TRADE_PLUGIN]LTCUSDT,LTCUSDT[/TRADE_PLUGIN]

#LTC

  • Technical Crossroads: LTC''s position relative to its 20-day MA and Bollinger Bands suggests a breakout is imminent
  • ETF Catalyst: 90% approval probability for LTC ETFs could override current bearish technicals
  • Macro Alignment: SEC''s accelerated crypto ETF process creates favorable regulatory winds

LTC Price Prediction

LTC Technical Analysis: Key Levels to Watch

LTC is currently trading at 89.77 USDT, slightly below its 20-day moving average (MA) of 90.5255, indicating a neutral to slightly bearish short-term trend. The MACD (12,26,9) shows a slight bearish crossover with the histogram at -0.2159, suggesting weakening momentum. Bollinger Bands reveal price action NEAR the middle band (90.5255), with upper and lower bands at 97.8101 and 83.2409 respectively, indicating moderate volatility. According to BTCC financial analyst James, ''A sustained break above the 20-day MA could signal a bullish reversal, but failure to hold this level may lead to a retest of support near 83.24.''

LTCUSDT

LTC Market Sentiment: ETF Hopes Clash with Bearish Pressure

Despite bearish sentiment pushing LTC below key resistance, Bloomberg analysts have raised the odds of spot LTC and SOL ETF approvals to 90%, potentially fueling a bullish catalyst. The SEC''s accelerated timeline for Solana ETF filings adds to the positive narrative. However, BTCC''s James notes, ''While ETF Optimism is high, LTC must first overcome technical resistance at 90.52 to confirm a trend reversal. The current price action reflects a battle between macro tailwinds and short-term selling pressure.''

Factors Influencing LTC''s Price

Litecoin Price Struggles Below Key Resistance as Bearish Sentiment Intensifies

Litecoin faces renewed selling pressure after failing to breach a critical resistance level, with technical indicators suggesting a potential dead-cat bounce pattern. The cryptocurrency''s inability to sustain momentum above $93.30—a level reinforced by its 200-day Exponential Moving Average—has emboldened bearish traders.

Derivatives markets reflect growing pessimism, with Coinglass data showing the long-to-short ratio at 0.82, indicating more traders are betting on further downside. Short positions have reached their highest level in over a month, creating potential entry points between $93 and $95 for bearish traders anticipating continued weakness.

The breakdown below Litecoin''s ascending trendline, which had supported prices since April, confirms deteriorating technical conditions. Market participants now watch whether the 8.2% decline observed since May 30 will extend further as bearish momentum builds.

Bloomberg Analyst Raises Chances of Spot LTC and SOL ETF Approvals to 90%

Market anticipation for altcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) has reached a fever pitch as Bloomberg analyst James Seyffart significantly upgraded approval odds for Solana (SOL) and Litecoin (LTC) spot ETFs to 90%. The updated forecast, shared via X on June 10, places XRP at 85% likelihood, with Dogecoin (DOGE) trailing at 80%. Other major tokens including Cardano (ADA), Polkadot (DOT), Hedera (HBAR), and Avalanche (AVAX) each hold 75% probability.

The SEC has intensified its review process for solana ETF proposals, with Blockworks reporting agency requests for updated S1 registration forms by next week. Issuers must clarify staking mechanisms and in-kind redemption processes—a development suggesting regulatory openness to staking within ETF structures. Industry sources indicate these adjustments could accelerate approvals within 3-5 weeks.

Major institutional players are positioning for the Solana ETF race, with Grayscale, VanEck, 21Shares, Canary Capital, Bitwise, and Franklin Templeton all vying for first-mover advantage. The regulatory shift mirrors earlier patterns seen during Bitcoin and ethereum ETF considerations, signaling growing institutional acceptance of alternative crypto assets.

SEC Accelerates Solana ETF Process, Requests Updated Filings by Mid-June

The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission has taken a decisive step toward potential Solana ETF approvals, instructing issuers to submit updated S-1 filings by mid-June. Regulatory focus centers on in-kind redemption mechanisms, with the SEC notably open to including staking features in these products—a significant development for proof-of-stake blockchain assets.

Bloomberg analyst James Seyffart projects a 90% likelihood of Solana ETF approval in 2025, though timing remains fluid. "Expect delays as standard procedure," Seyffart noted, suggesting late June or early July as the earliest possible window for approvals, with Q4 2025 being more probable. The regulatory movement signals growing institutional acceptance of altcoin investment vehicles beyond Bitcoin and Ethereum.

Market observers note the SEC''s request for filing updates—with promised 30-day feedback—indicates a more structured evaluation process compared to previous crypto ETF considerations. Solana joins Litecoin (90%) and XRP (85%) as frontrunners in the altcoin ETF race, while Dogecoin and HBAR trail slightly at 80% approval odds.

Will LTC Price Hit 90?

LTC faces a critical test at the 20-day MA (90.5255 USDT), with three key factors determining whether it breaks through:

FactorBullish CaseBearish Case
TechnicalMACD potential reversal above zero linePrice below MA suggests downtrend
ETF News90% approval chance per BloombergDelays could trigger sell-off
Market StructureBollinger Band squeeze precedes breakoutLower band at 83.24 acts as magnet

James concludes: ''The 90 level is psychologically significant. A daily close above 90.52 with volume would confirm bullish control, but rejection here may see a 5-7% pullback.''

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